Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Unrelenting Attack

Good summary on Trump's path to victory:


Unfavorables

Both candidates have high unfavorables.

Fundamentals

From 1992 to 2012, the Democratic nominee always won 18 states, plus the District of Columbia, that are worth a combined 242 electoral votes — just 28 short of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Over the same six elections, Republicans have consistently won 13 states with a total of 102 electoral votes. That means a generic GOP candidate has a much narrower path to victory than a generic Democrat

Turnout

Donald has high voter turnout

Issues

Past Republicans have been same cluster of issues: tax cuts, especially for the wealthy;
·         muscular internationalism;
·         social conservatism;
·         free trade.

T is not boxed in like past republicans.

Attack

T will unrelentingly attack even on a personal level.